The most reliable way to enter the Japanese market is to start from a deep understanding of your product, work backwards from the structure of the target industry to the buyers who need it, and meet those buyers in person before committing to a subsidiary, an office or a country manager.
Japanese enterprise buyers decide slowly and by consensus, value track record and local support, and rarely say no directly. Companies that set up first and sell second often discover this only after the fixed costs are in place. Companies that validate first decide on real reactions, not on market-size reports.